The largest single reason for a drop appears to be a decrease in homicides involving young people. Just 3 of 12 involved victims under 25 years.
Springfield detectives on Oct. 26 examine evidence in the middle of Eastern Avenue where a 19-year-Dwayne Kelley was shot to death.
The Republican file / Patrick Johnson
SPRINGFIELD - Twelve people were killed in Springfield last year. And while any homicide is one too many, the numbers for the city represents a 10-year low.
In 2011, there were 19 homicides, three more than in 2010 when there were 16.
Twelve homicides in 2012 is the lowest number in any year in Springfield since 2002 when there were also 12.
Local officials said the reasons for the decline is difficult to pinpoint, but cite possible explanations as increased cooperation among different law enforcement agencies, a greater focus on high-crime areas, and more partnering between law enforcement and neighborhood residents to identify potential problems before they ignite.
“Can we point to any one thing and say ‘that’s the reason’?” Hampden District Attorney Mark G. Mastroianni asked. “I’m not sure we can.”
Mayor Domenic J. Sarno said the 2012 numbers are good for the city and its reputation, and a reflection of the hard work by local law enforcement.
He said, however, it is hard to take comfort a drop in the homicide rate when there are still a dozen Springfield families who suffered a tragic loss.
The Republican / Robert Rich
“It’s still 12 too many,” he said. “No one is jumping for joy; everyone is remaining vigilant,” he said.
Homicide numbers in Springfield are subject to flux from one year to the next.
For example, there were 20 homicides in 2007, a 15-year high. But there were 14 in 2008 and 15 in 2005.
For the decade of 2000-2009, there were 144 homicides in Springfield, which averages a little more than 14 per year. The second half of the decade was a period marked by an increase in youth and gang violence and the yearly average for 2005-09 was nearly 17 per year.
Incidentally, that 2002 total was itself recently revised upward from 11 when a shooting victim who lingered for nine years finally succumbed to his injuries in December 2011.
When dealing with fewer than two dozen data points in any year, any half-capable statistician would caution against reading too much into any apparent trends or emerging patterns.
With that in mind, the 2012 numbers show some interesting data.
The largest single reason for the drop would appear to be a decrease in homicides involving young people.
In 2012, just three of the 12 homicides, or 25 percent, involved victims younger than age 25.
The year prior, nine of 19 homicides were younger than 25, or 47 percent. In 2010, it was 10 of 16, or 62 percent.
For the entire decade of 2000-2009, there were 63 homicide victims under age 25 or 44 percent.
According to the U.S. Department of Justice’s Bureau of Justice Statistics, people younger than 25 accounted for about 34 percent of all homicides in the United States between 1980 and 2008, the most recent year available.
With fewer young people dying, the average age of victims has also crept up, from 24 years in 2010 to 29.8 years in 2011 to 32.5 years in 2012.
Springfield did not have a single victim younger than age 25 until 19-year-old Dwayne Kelly was killed in a gang-related shooting on Eastern Avenue on Oct. 26.
The last two homicides in Springfield for the year also involved young victims. Twenty-year-old Felix Laurent was stabbed to death Nov. 8 on Union Street, and Keough Collins Jr. 19, was shot to death in a drug-related robbery on Robert Dyer Circle on Dec. 2.
Sarno attributed the declining numbers to several different fronts, including the city’s anti-violence task force in the schools, strategic police deployments in trouble areas, the 1 a.m. entertainment curfew in the city’s Entertainment District, and an increasing willingness by parents to keep track of their children.
From a law enforcement standpoint, a key factor has been regular meetings of various state, federal and local agencies to share information. Among the participating agencies meeting every other week are the Springfield and state police, the Hampden District Attorney, the U.S. Attorney, Hampden County Sheriff’s Office and the state Department of Probation.
Sarno cited the work of Springfield and state police in using the C-3 policing model in the North End and the Springfield police with the BADGE program in part of Forest Park to work with members of the neighborhoods to root out problems.
All together, Sarno said, “many times it helps us stop some things before they happen.”
Chelan Brown of AWAKE, a Springfield organization that tries to work with teens to prevent violence, said the decrease in homicides involving young people may be due to today’s teens may be turned off to violence after growing up watching their older brothers and sisters going to funerals.
“Many of the ones I’ve talked to say exactly that. They are tired of going to funerals and seeing mothers cry and hurt,” she said.
Brown said there are many who will take credit for any decline and be willing to cite a host of reasons ranging from increased police presence to more youth activities.
“But I feel like some of the credit has to be given to the parents of the community and neighborhoods and the youth themselves,” she said. “I’ve always told them that I believe (violence) begins and ends with them.”
Mastroianni said local law enforcement agencies have been making a coordinated effort, particularly in areas of Springfield and Holyoke that had been troubled by violent crime.
His office has been working with Springfield and Holyoke police and the state police in more outreach into problem areas in parts of Holyoke, and in Springfield’s North End and the areas around Mason Square. There has been an emphasis on providing a greater presence in patrols and in investigations, he said.
It is impossible to say for certain, but perhaps those efforts are paying off.
“At some point, you have to realize it is hard to say. You have to keep doing what you think is working and hope the numbers keep going down,” Mastroianni said.
Homicides in the Pioneer Valley, 2012
View Pioneer Valley Homicides, 2012 in a larger map
There were three other homicides outside of Springfield, bringing the total for the Pioneer Valley to 15. This is also a significant drop from the previous two years, where there were 25 in 2011 in total and 29 in 2010.
Holyoke did not see a single homicide in 2012. There were four each in 2010 and 2011.
Jessica Pripstein, 39, of Easthampton was killed in her apartment on Feb. 20, and Jessica Dana, 30, of Huntington, was killed in her home on June 23. Each case was considered a domestic homicide, and suspects have been charged in both deaths.
On Sept. 28, 25-year-old Jean Carlos Bones-Colon, of Holyoke, was stabbed to death outside a bar in South Hadley. No arrest has been made.
Springfield police made arrests in seven of the 12 homicides. An arrest in an eighth case was not possible when Shawn Bryant, a suspect in the shooting that claimed the life of Springfield police officer Kevin Ambrose, took his own life.
Homicides have been trending downward nationwide, according to FBI numbers.
According to the most recent figures available in the FBI’s Uniform Crime Report, homicides were down by 1.9 percent nationwide in 2011. The figures for 2012 are not yet available.
In New England, Boston saw its homicides decline from 61 to 55, while Hartford fell from 27 to 21, according to numbers provided by each department.
Nationally, New York City tallied 414 homicides, which is not only a drop from 515 in 2011 but also a 40-year low.
Homicide numbers in Washington, D.C., also fell to 92 from 108 the year before.
The most notable exception was the city of Chicago, which saw its homicide numbers increase, from 433 in 2011 to 499 last year.